The vehicle aftermarket is a large, dynamic and growing
industry. We discuss characteristics of parts retailing
and vehicle service and repair in the sections below.
Parts Retailers
As a purchaser of real estate leased to parts
retailers, American Automotive analyzes trends in both
the Do-It-Yourself (DIY) and Do-It-For-Me (DIFM) categories
of the aftermarket. Although aftermarket businesses vary
in size and type by geographic market, both the DIY and
DIFM categories generally are highly fragmented and competitive.
|
As the number of replacement parts retailers has increased,
discount stores and mass merchandisers have been challenged
to maintain a broad inventory selection and provide the service
levels that DIY customers require. This has created a competitive
advantage for certain specialty parts retailers which have distribution
capacity, sophisticated information systems, wider inventory
selections, and knowledgeable sales staff, all of which are
helpful in servicing DIY customers. This has resulted in the
growth of specialty automotive parts retailer market share.
Lang Marketing, a recognized aftermarket research firm, indicates
specialty retailers increased their market share of DIY sales
from approximately one quarter in 1990 to over 40% ten years
later. Specialty retailers gained market share during the period
at the expense of discount stores and mass merchandisers.
Vehicle Service and Repair
American Automotive purchases properties utilized
by vehicle service and repair businesses and we constantly review
trends in this industry segment. This helps us improve our property
investment and rent coverage analysis, and facilitates our role
as a financing partner for our tenants and prospective tenants.
The chart and analysis below, derived in part from information
provided by Auto Lab, a franchisor of independent vehicle service
and repair facilities, summarizes issues which can impact the
vehicle service and repair industry.
| Issue |
Effect
on Property and/or Tenants |
Risk |
| Increased
competition |
Negative |
Moderate
risk |
| Extended
new car warranties |
Highly negative |
Low
risk and temporary |
| Lower
dealership service pricing |
Highly negative |
Low
risk |
| Technician
shortage |
Negative |
Moderate
risk |
| Advanced
technologies |
Neutral |
Low
to moderate risk |
| Shift
or variation in mix of vehicles |
None |
Low
risk, and change would be gradual over time |
| Economic
downturn |
Believed
neutral |
Moderate
risk |
Increased competition: Increased competition, which can
affect rent coverage ratios, may come from new auto service
and repair operations or expanded service offerings from existing
businesses. The affect of greater competition would be ameliorated
if steady aftermarket growth continues.
Extended new car warranties: If automakers extended new
car warranties, this would adversely affect independent vehicle
repair and service businesses. However, this possibility is
believed to be remote. Automakers prefer to incentivize consumer
purchases of their vehicles through rebates at the time of purchase.
For automakers, rebates are less expensive and have an immediate
impact on consumer decisions. Consumers have greater difficulty
valuing an extended warranty as its value is unknown at the
time of purchase.
Lower dealership service pricing: Such lower pricing
would shift business from the independent vehicle service provider
to the dealer. This would benefit our rent coverages at dealerships
but it would adversely affect rent coverages from repair and
service locations. Lower dealership service pricing is not likely
as the service department is one of the most profitable areas
of the auto dealership business and dealers seek to avoid reducing
their profit margins. Dealers also tend to have a built in advantage
as the seller of the vehicle to the consumer in the first place.
Generally, consumers who return to the dealer are less price
sensitive than those who begin to use independent repair facilities
earlier in the life of their vehicles.
Technician shortage: The Automotive Aftermarket Industry
Association indicates there were in excess of 867,000 technicians
working in the aftermarket in 2004. Since 1980, both the demand
and the supply of technicians have increased. If a shortage
of certified and qualified technicians occurred in the aftermarket,
service pricing would increase. There would be an adverse affect
on the vehicle repair business if price increases caused consumers
to defer non-critical maintenance.
Technician Employment Supply and Demand 1980-2004

Source: Automotive Aftermarket Industry Association
Advanced technologies: Every year, vehicle makers
add new or advanced technologies to their vehicles. These
additions include new diagnostic approaches or systems. Independent
vehicle repair and service businesses usually have at least
three years, which comprise the initial vehicle warranty period,
to prepare for the new technologies.
Shift or variation in mix of vehicles: The mix of
vehicles serviced will differ across geographies and repair
and service businesses. For example, East and West Coast repair
facilities will service more foreign cars than repair shops
in the Midwest. Suburban facilities will service more SUVs
than city locations. Capable repair and service businesses
are knowledgeable about these variations and can plan their
tooling and diagnostic equipment needs for these variations
without experiencing a loss of consumer revenue.
Economic downturn: The aftermarket tends to be insulated
from the gyrations of the broader economy. When the economy
is doing poorly, consumers tend to hold onto their cars longer
or buy used cars. Both attributes help the independent repair
business. The latter attribute helps the auto dealer as profit
margins are higher on used cars than new ones. Consumers which
hold onto their vehicles longer are more likely to own vehicles
which are out of warranty, increasing repair business revenues.
Consumers who are unemployed tend to defer automotive work.
Eventually a vehicle will fall into disrepair and require
both aftermarket parts and service. With the high content
of integrated circuitry and software in many vehicles today,
trained technicians with the proper tools typically are required
to perform normal maintenance and repairs. The consumer eventually
will be forced to take the vehicle in for service, at either
the dealer or the independent repair facility.
The diagram below summarizes the relationships between participants
in various sectors of the aftermarket.

|